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Guinea’s First Post-Coup Election: Doumbouya Favored

December 29, 2025
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CONAKRY, Guinea (AP) — Guineans voted on Dec. 28 to decide on a brand new president within the nation’s first election since a 2021 coup, as analysts say a weakened opposition will end in a probable win for junta chief Gen. Mamadi Doumbouya.

The Dec. 28 election was the fruits of a transition course of that started 4 years in the past after Doumbouya ousted President Alpha Condé. The junta chief has proceeded to clamp down on the principle opposition and dissent, critics say, leaving him with no main opposition among the many eight different candidates within the race.

Regardless of Guinea’s wealthy mineral sources — together with because the world’s greatest exporter of bauxite, used to make aluminum — greater than half of its 15 million individuals are experiencing report ranges of poverty and meals insecurity, in keeping with the World Meals Program.

“This vote is the hope of younger individuals, particularly for us unemployed,” stated Idrissa Camara, an 18-year-old resident of Conakry, who stated he has been unemployed since graduating from college 5 years in the past. “I’m compelled to do odd jobs to outlive. I hope this vote will enhance the usual of dwelling and the standard of life in Guinea,” he added.

Guinea’s President, Gen. Mamadi Doumbouya, arrives along with his spouse, Lauriane Doumbouya, to solid their votes within the presidential election in Conakry, Guinea, Dec. 28, 2025. (AP Photograph/Fode Toure)

Calls to boycott the election

Whereas voting was largely clean throughout the nation, the voter turnout was low in lots of polling stations due partially to opposition events who weren’t on the poll calling on voters to boycott the election.

Voting formally closed at 7 p.m. native time as electoral officers began counting votes throughout the polling models. The election outcomes are anticipated inside 48 hours and there will probably be a runoff if no candidate wins a majority of the votes.

The election was held below a brand new structure that revoked a ban on navy leaders operating for workplace and prolonged the presidential mandate from 5 to seven years. That structure was overwhelmingly accepted in a September referendum regardless of opposition events asking voters to boycott it.

Surge in coups

The vote is the most recent such election amongst African nations which have seen a surge in coups lately. A minimum of 10 nations within the continent have skilled troopers forcefully taking energy after accusing elected leaders of failing to supply good governance and safety for residents.

“This election will open a brand new web page in Guinea’s historical past and mark the nation’s return to the league of countries,” stated Guinea political analyst Aboubacar Sidiki Diakité. “Doumbouya is undoubtedly the favourite on this presidential election as a result of the principle opposition political events have been sidelined and the Normal Directorate of Elections, the physique that oversees the presidential election, is below the supervision of the federal government.”

A weakened opposition

Along with a weakened opposition, activists and rights teams say Guinea has because the coup seen civil society leaders silenced, critics kidnapped and the press censored. Greater than 50 political events had been dissolved final 12 months in a transfer authorities claimed was to “clear up the political chessboard” regardless of widespread criticism.

There was heavy safety in Conakry and different elements of Guinea with practically 12,000 law enforcement officials amongst safety forces mobilized and checkpoints arrange alongside main roads. Authorities had stated on Dec. 27 that safety forces “neutralized” an armed group with “subversive intentions threatening nationwide safety” after gunshots had been heard in Conakry’s Sonfonia neighborhood.

A complete of 9 candidates contested the election, and Doumbouya’s closest challenger is the little-known Yero Baldé of the Democratic Entrance of Guinea get together, who was schooling minister below Condé.

2 opposition candidates excluded

Two opposition candidates, former Prime Minister Lansana Kouyaté and former authorities minister Ousmane Kaba, had been excluded on technical grounds whereas longtime opposition leaders Cellou Dalein Diallo and Sidya Toure have been compelled into exile.

Whereas Baldé has hinged his marketing campaign on guarantees of governance reforms, anti-corruption efforts and financial development, Doumbouya has constructed his round main infrastructure initiatives and reforms launched since taking energy 4 years in the past.

The junta’s most essential mission has been the Simandou iron ore mission, a 75 % Chinese language-owned mega-mining mission on the world’s largest iron ore deposit which started manufacturing final month after many years of delays.

Authorities say {that a} nationwide improvement plan tied to the Simandou mission goals to create tens of 1000’s of jobs and diversify the financial system via investments in agriculture, schooling, transport, know-how and well being.

“In 4 years, he (Doumbouya) has linked Guinean youth to data and communication applied sciences,” stated Mamadama Touré, a highschool scholar carrying a T-shirt with Doumbouya’s picture within the capital of Conakry, as he cited digital abilities coaching applications put in place by the authorities.

About 6.7 million registered voters had been to solid ballots.

In Conakry, 22-year-old scholar Issatou Bah stated he’s nonetheless undecided about whether or not to vote within the election.

“That is the third time I’ve voted in Guinea, hoping issues will change. However nothing has modified,” stated Bah, including that he hopes the election will enhance “this nation that has every little thing however struggles to take off.”



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