by BLACK ENTERPRISE Editors
July 23, 2025
Whereas present Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention knowledge have traditionally proven broadly declining measles-mumps-rubella vaccination charges on the state and nationwide ranges, the county-level evaluation printed on June 2 in JAMA is way extra granular.
Childhood vaccination charges have markedly declined throughout the U.S. because the begin of the COVID-19 pandemic, in response to new Johns Hopkins College analysis displaying 78% of greater than 2,000 counties reported drops, and the common immunization fee had fallen to 91% — under the 95% threshold wanted for herd immunity.
Whereas present Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention knowledge have traditionally proven broadly declining measles-mumps-rubella vaccination charges on the state and nationwide ranges, the county-level evaluation printed on June 2 in JAMA is way extra granular.
It supplies a “higher understanding of those pockets the place you have got extra exceptionally excessive danger,” stated senior writer Lauren Gardner, the director of Johns Hopkins College’s Middle for Techniques Science and Engineering.
“Realizing the place there are drawback areas,” she added, “provides policymakers and public well being professionals areas to focus on their restricted sources to try to enhance vaccination protection and due to this fact reduce the potential danger of measles outbreaks.”
The nation is at the moment experiencing a lethal measles outbreak that has contaminated over 1,000 folks throughout 30 states and killed two unvaccinated kids. Case numbers this 12 months have already surpassed the full for 2024 and mark the second-highest variety of confirmed circumstances in a 12 months because the illness was declared eradicated within the U.S. in 2000. Some 96% of reported infections have concerned an individual who was unvaccinated or whose standing was unknown, and 13% have resulted in hospitalization.
Gardner, who additionally led the info assortment efforts behind Johns Hopkins’ COVID-19 dashboard, and her workforce collected county-level, two-dose MMR vaccine charges for kindergarteners from every state’s division of well being web site from 2017 to 2024, the place accessible. Finally, they have been in a position to analyze developments in 2,066 counties throughout 33 states and made all their knowledge accessible to obtain.


Whereas state-level common charges could decline by a number of proportion factors, the researchers discovered 130 counties the place the charges dropped by at the least 10 proportion factors, and in 15 of these counties, the charges plummeted by greater than 20 proportion factors.
Solely 4 of the states studied — California, Connecticut, Maine, and New York — reported a rise within the median county-level vaccination fee. They’re at the moment the one 4 states that completely enable medical — and never philosophical or spiritual — exemptions to necessary vaccines for school-aged kids.
Gardner stated she pursued the county-level knowledge after observing a rising development of vaccine hesitancy and misinformation. Based mostly on her years of labor within the discipline, she stated she was “100% anticipating to see [these current outbreaks].”
If vaccination charges proceed to drop, “measles is prone to return to endemic ranges within the US,” in response to Johns Hopkins’ report — a priority different consultants see as heightened by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. now heading the U.S. Division of Well being and Human Companies. A widely known vaccine skeptic, Kennedy initially downplayed the measles unfold in late February and has been inconsistent in his help of the MMR vaccine.
Below Kennedy’s management, the Trump administration launched the controversial “Make America Wholesome Once more” report on Might 22, which misinterpreted research, cited ones that don’t exist, and is suspected of being generated partly by synthetic intelligence. The report, which concerned no pediatricians, raises questions in regards to the security and significance of sure childhood vaccines.
“Regardless of the expansion of the childhood vaccine schedule,” the report reads, “there was restricted scientific inquiry into the hyperlinks between vaccines and persistent illness, the impacts of vaccine harm, and conflicts of curiosity within the growth of the vaccine schedule.”
Paul Offit, the director of the Vaccine Training Middle on the Youngsters’s Hospital of Philadelphia and a professor of pediatrics on the College of Pennsylvania Perelman Faculty of Drugs, pushed again on these assertions.
The difficulty has been effectively studied, and there’s no proof of hyperlinks between childhood vaccines and persistent ailments — together with diabetes and autism — stated Offit, who can be a voting member of the CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices.
He referenced 24 research throughout seven international locations and three continents involving hundreds of kids that present they’re at no larger danger of getting autism in the event that they obtain the MMR vaccine.
Present skepticism just isn’t remoted to the measles vaccine: The Meals and Drug Administration, which falls beneath HHS, lately launched up to date steerage, which not recommends the COVID vaccine for wholesome kids or pregnant ladies. In response, a prime COVID vaccine adviser on the CDC resigned in early June, in response to reporting from The Washington Put up.
And throughout the nation, quite a few states have launched laws to loosen vaccine necessities for school-aged kids, opening the door for extra dad and mom to decide their youngsters out.
“I feel that is solely going to worsen,” Offit stated. “I feel vaccines are beneath assault. You might have a Secretary of Well being and Human Companies who will do every part he can through the years that he’s in that place to make vaccines much less accessible, much less inexpensive, and extra feared. … So I feel it is a harmful time to be a baby in america of America.”
This story was produced by The 74 and reviewed and distributed by Stacker.
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