Asia’s video business is ready to develop by an annual 2.6% over the subsequent 5 years to succeed in $165 billion by 2028, says a brand new examine from analysis and consultancy agency Media Companions Asia. That follows 5.5% progress in 2023.
The agency’s “Asia Pacific Video & Broadband Trade 2024” report spans a widely-defined cluster of free TV, pay-TV, SVOD, premium AVOD and user-generated content material and social video in 14 Asia-Pacific nations and territories. Its chief discovering is the perception behind the continued transfer away from TV to on-line, which the authors name a “secular shift.”
“Improved connectivity and rising linked TV penetration, mixed with the expansion of native creator economies, funding in premium native content material in addition to the huge availability of premium sports activities streaming, will proceed to drive {dollars} and eyeballs on-line,” says MPA’s managing and government director Vivek Couto.
China stays the area’s largest and most regulated video market, producing $64 billion in income in 2023.
Excluding China, the biggest markets in 2023 had been Japan ($32 billion), India ($13 billion), Korea ($12 billion) and Australia ($9.5 billion), adopted by Taiwan and Indonesia, each at round US$3 billion.
The agency’s progress projections point out that complete APAC video business revenues will broaden at a compound common progress price of two.6% between 2023-28 to succeed in $165 billion by 2028. China will develop at a forecast 1.7% to succeed in $70 billion by 2028. The expansion forecast for the non-China portion is 3.3%, rising to $95 billion by 2028.
By sector, the area’s on-line video element is projected to develop at 6.7% CAGR to succeed in $78.5 billion by 2028. Outdoors of China, the forecast progress price is 9.2%, to succeed in $46 billion by the identical date. Asia’s TV business revenues, together with promoting and subscriptions, are forecast to marginally contract at -0.4% CAGR between 2023-28 to succeed in $86.5 billion by 2028. Outdoors China, the downtrend is fractionally steeper at -1% CAGR to $49 billion by 2028. Inside that larger image, some territories, notably India, Japan, Korea and Indonesia, should exhibit web progress, however there are “vital draw back” dangers in TV promoting in lots of the identical territories.
Whereas TV might not be the drive that it as soon as was, ad-supported on-line fashions (social video, FAST and AVOD) imply that promoting is anticipated to develop in significance. “Promoting contributed 51% to on-line video revenues in 2023. Its contribution is projected to develop to 54% by 2028 and to 63% in APAC ex-China (vs 58% in 2023),” says the report.
In accordance with MPA, eight corporations accounted for an mixture 65% share of the APAC on-line video income enterprise in 2023: Amazon Prime Video, ByteDance (together with TikTok), Disney, Google-owned YouTube, iQiyi, Meta (video), Netflix and Tencent.
Outdoors of China, the corporate identifies corporations with vital progress potential as together with Jio Cinema in India; Zee and Sony, the place a merger continues to be pending, in India; Foxtel’s Kayo and 9’s SVOD and broadcaster-VOD platforms in Australia; TVer and U-Subsequent in Japan; Tving in Korea; Vidio in Indonesia; and Viu throughout Southeast Asia.
“New investments made by [strategic investors] and personal fairness within the on-line video sector in China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea and Southeast Asia are serving to native and regional corporations compete. The net video sector can also be beginning to rationalize with value will increase within the SVOD class together with disciplined content material and advertising and marketing funding, the introduction of advert tiers, new methods to drive monetization and the beginning of native market consolidation in Korea, Japan and India,” says the report.
Trying again at 2023, MPA says: “The APAC video business grew by 5.5% in 2023 as complete income reached roughly $145 billion. The 2023 efficiency was pushed by a 13% progress in on-line video sector gross sales to $57 billion, partially offset by lower than 1% progress within the TV income pie to $98 billion.
“Excluding China, the APAC video business grew by 3.2% in 2023 with income reaching $81 billion, pushed by a 13% enhance in on-line video gross sales to $30 billion whereas TV declined by 2% to $51 billion.
“On-line SVOD grew 15% in 2023 to succeed in $28 billion or 12% ex-China to $12 billion whereas the AVOD pie grew 11% to $29 billion, or 13% ex-China to US$17 billion. UGC and social video continues to dominate the AVOD class with 80% share, whereas premium AVOD had a 20% share in 2023. Pay-TV subscription charges confirmed marginally under flat progress in APAC ex-China, with income declines in necessary markets equivalent to India and Japan whereas nearly each market in Southeast Asia contracted.
“Pay-TV promoting grew in India however was decimated in Korea. Free TV promoting was down 2% in 2023 throughout APAC ex-China with vital declines in Australia, Indonesia and Korea.”